BRRRR calculator
Cash out is not magic. It is new debt wearing a victory jacket.
The first number is only the beginning.
The chart will name the assumption carrying the most weight once the model runs.
| Case | Result | What moved |
|---|
Who validates ARV?
ARV fantasy
BRRRR math lives or dies on rehab cost, appraisal, rent, loan proceeds, and the payment after refinance.
What this number is really saying
The strategy only works if the appraisal, loan proceeds, rehab, rent, and refinance payment all survive contact with reality. Pulling cash out while the property cannot carry the new loan is not a win. It is a future problem with a closing statement.
The assumption to attack
Cut ARV, raise rehab, lower LTV, raise the rate, and drop rent. If cash-out disappears or DSCR gets thin, you are still the owner.
What the math is ignoring
Seasoning rules, lender overlays, construction mistakes, vacancy, and whether the property supports the new debt.
Headline, stress, proof.
- Start with the headline result.It names the current modeled answer, not the decision.
- Compare the stress cases.The scenario strip shows which assumption makes the answer fragile.
- Use the ledger as a diligence list.Every input should map back to a document, invoice, statement, term sheet, or named assumption.
Documents before confidence.
Contractor bids, scope of work, appraisal support, lender refi quote, rent comps, seasoning rules, and DSCR requirements.
Stress before trust
- ARV fantasy
- Underbudgeted rehab
- Ignoring DSCR after refinance
Make the model answer.
- Who validates ARV?
- What if LTV comes in lower?
- Can rent support the refi debt after vacancy and expenses?
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